Public Opinion Evolution and Communication Stages in Complex Network

Shan Liu, Xiaoqing Wu
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Abstract

Nowadays, online public opinion is developing rapidly and has a great influence. If it is not guided in time, it will easily endanger the stability of society. Therefore, this paper focused on building a network public opinion dissemination model, and analyzed the evolution law of public opinion dissemination at different stages, so as to help the government do a good job of public opinion prevention and intervention to build a good network environment. This paper took the hot event of “the Fukushima nuclear wastewater” as an example, drawn the evolution curve of public opinion by fitting the collected data, and divided the development of public opinion into three stages, and researched their network structure and public opinion diffusion law respectively. Research shows that the process of public opinion dissemination can be divided into three stages: incubation period, diffusion period, and recession period. In different stages, the network structure has different characteristics.
复杂网络中的民意演变与传播阶段
如今,网络舆论发展迅速,影响力巨大。如果不及时引导,很容易危及社会的稳定。因此,本文着重构建网络舆情传播模型,分析舆情传播在不同阶段的演变规律,从而帮助政府做好舆情预防和干预工作,营造良好的网络环境。本文以“福岛核废水”这一热点事件为例,通过拟合收集到的数据,绘制舆论演变曲线,并将舆论发展分为三个阶段,分别研究其网络结构和舆论扩散规律。研究表明,舆论传播的过程可分为三个阶段:潜伏期、扩散期和衰退期。在不同阶段,网络结构具有不同的特点。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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