INVESTMENTS IN SERBIAN PIG PRODUCTION – INFLUENCE OF REGIONAL DISPARITIES

S. Ivanović, L. Nastić, R. Savić
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Abstract

Pig production is one of the most important elements of Serbian livestock breeding sector. Although it faces numerous challenges, there is not enough research focused on its economic effectiveness. The goal of this research is to analyze influence of regional disparities on economic efficiency of investments in Serbian pig production. The main methodological approach was to determine the present value of investments in pig production (for Mačva and Šumadija regions). Authors applied sensitivity and scenario analysis, as well. Riskiness of investments is compared using standard deviation and coefficient of variation of the expected present value. The results indicated significant influence of labor costs on net cash flows (especially in Šumadija region). Analysis revealed that (in usual circumstances) investments in pig production in Mačva region are more economically efficient. Nevertheless, rather small increase in pig price could lead to equal present values in both regions. It was determined that investments are riskier in Šumadija region.
塞尔维亚生猪生产投资-地区差异的影响
生猪生产是塞尔维亚畜牧业最重要的组成部分之一。尽管它面临着诸多挑战,但对其经济效益的研究还不够。本研究的目的是分析区域差异对塞尔维亚养猪生产投资经济效率的影响。主要的方法方法是确定生猪生产投资的现值(对于马 va和Šumadija地区)。作者还应用了敏感性分析和情景分析。用预期现值的标准差和变异系数来比较投资的风险。结果表明,劳动力成本对净现金流量的影响显著(尤其在Šumadija区域)。分析表明(在通常情况下)马瓦地区的生猪生产投资更具经济效益。然而,猪价的小幅上涨可能导致两个地区的现值相等。结果表明,Šumadija地区的投资风险较大。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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