The Experienced Utility of Expected Utility Approaches

Baruch Fischhoff, Bernard Goitein, Z. Shapira
{"title":"The Experienced Utility of Expected Utility Approaches","authors":"Baruch Fischhoff, Bernard Goitein, Z. Shapira","doi":"10.21236/ada088698","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Abstract : Reviewing many research results, the present report concludes: (a) the ability of the weighted average models to predict the decisions that people make varies from situation to situation; (b) even where they are successful in predicting decisions, these models may not do a very good job of describing the psychological processes that determined them. That is, their predictive accuracy is in part an artifact of the research techniques used.","PeriodicalId":106177,"journal":{"name":"Expectations and Actions","volume":"10 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"1980-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"8","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Expectations and Actions","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.21236/ada088698","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 8

Abstract

Abstract : Reviewing many research results, the present report concludes: (a) the ability of the weighted average models to predict the decisions that people make varies from situation to situation; (b) even where they are successful in predicting decisions, these models may not do a very good job of describing the psychological processes that determined them. That is, their predictive accuracy is in part an artifact of the research techniques used.
期望效用方法的经验效用
摘要:本文回顾了许多研究成果,得出以下结论:(a)加权平均模型预测人们决策的能力因情况而异;(b)即使这些模型在预测决策方面取得了成功,但它们在描述决定决策的心理过程方面可能做得并不好。也就是说,它们预测的准确性在一定程度上是所使用的研究技术的产物。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
求助全文
约1分钟内获得全文 求助全文
来源期刊
自引率
0.00%
发文量
0
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
确定
请完成安全验证×
copy
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
右上角分享
点击右上角分享
0
联系我们:info@booksci.cn Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。 Copyright © 2023 布克学术 All rights reserved.
京ICP备2023020795号-1
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术官方微信