Driver route choice behavior: Experiences, perceptions, and choices

Abstract

Within the context of transportation modeling, driver route choice is typically captured using mathematical programming approaches, which assume that drivers, in attempting to minimize some objective function, have full knowledge of the transportation network state. Typically, drivers are assumed to either minimize their travel time (user equilibrium) or minimize the total system travel time (system optimum). Given the dynamic and stochastic nature of the transportation system, the assumption of a driver's perfect knowledge is at best questionable. While it is well documented in psychological sciences that humans tend to minimize their cognitive efforts and follow simple heuristics to reach their decisions, especially under uncertainty and time constraints, current models assume that drivers have perfect or close to perfect knowledge of their choice set, as well as the travel characteristics associated with each of the choice elements. Only a few of the many route choice models that are described in the literature are based on observed human behavior. With this in mind the research presented in this paper monitors and analyzes actual human route choice behavior. It compares actual drivers experiences, perceptions and choices, and demonstrates that (a) drivers perceptions are significantly different from their actual experiences, and that drivers' choices are better explained by their perceptions than their experiences; (b) drivers perceive travel speeds better than travel times (c) perceived travel speeds seem to influence route choice more than perceived travel times, and (d) drivers' route choice behavior differs across different driver groups.