Analysis of Exports and Imports' Effects on Economic Growth in Post-COVID-19 Indonesia

Arin Jannah Dinonasih, Devi Raudoh Indartia Siswey, Ilmi Atika, Maufirah Aulia Safrina, Neta Sari Anggraini, Berliana Maharis Arrishala
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Abstract

The Covid 19 pandemic that occurred in early 2019 threatened all countries, including Indonesia, apart from the health sector which was greatly affected by the pandemic, namely economic growth, and even reached a negative point. Various policies that have been carried out by the government to break the chain of spread of Covid 19, one of which is large-scale social restrictions, all transportation routes between countries are tightened, especially with regard to export and import, cooperation between countries in trade is temporarily closed, until the situation is completely recovered , of course this is a bad signal for the Indonesian state in the economic field, this is because international trade cooperation in terms of export import is one of the contributors to economic growth. As time goes by, the spread of the Covid-19 virus has decreased, economic recovery is increasingly being carried out to return conditions to normal, access to transportation and international trade cooperation for export and import are slowly opening. The purpose of this research was to examine the impact of exports and imports on economic growth following the Covid-19 pandemic, this study used the Eviews 9 analysis tool for error correction or Error Correction Model (ECM), from these calculations the results obtained were a moderate positive relationship between exports and imports with post-Covid-19 economic growth
新冠肺炎疫情后印尼进出口对经济增长的影响分析
2019年初发生的新冠肺炎疫情,除了严重影响卫生部门的经济增长外,还威胁到包括印度尼西亚在内的所有国家,甚至出现了负增长。政府为打破Covid - 19传播链而采取的各种政策,其中之一是大规模的社会限制,各国之间的所有运输路线都被收紧,特别是在进出口方面,各国之间的贸易合作暂时关闭,直到情况完全恢复,当然这对印尼国家在经济领域是一个不好的信号。这是因为在进出口方面的国际贸易合作是经济增长的贡献者之一。随着时间的推移,新冠肺炎疫情的蔓延程度有所下降,经济复苏逐步走向常态化,交通运输和国际进出口贸易合作逐步开放。本研究的目的是检验Covid-19大流行后出口和进口对经济增长的影响,本研究使用Eviews 9分析工具进行误差修正或误差修正模型(ECM),从这些计算中得到的结果是出口和进口与后Covid-19经济增长之间存在适度的正相关关系
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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