An Empirical Analysis of the Relationship between Cross-border E-commerce and Trade Growth

Lijuan Xu, Xiaokun Sang, Ki-hyung Bae, Mengze Zhang
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Abstract

Based on the current situation and development trend of cross-border e-commerce and trade growth, this article focuses on the interactive development relationship between cross-border e-commerce and foreign trade growth from the perspective of quantitative analysis. This paper selects time-series data from 2006 to 2018. It uses unit root test, cointegration test, OLS estimation, Granger causality test and error correction model to study the interactive development relationship between cross-border e-commerce and China’s foreign trade growth. Finally, based on the problems of China's cross-border e-commerce and the results of empirical research, the countermeasures and suggestions for applying cross-border e-commerce to promote China's foreign trade growth.
跨境电子商务与贸易增长关系的实证分析
本文基于跨境电子商务与外贸增长的现状及发展趋势,着重从定量分析的角度研究跨境电子商务与外贸增长的互动发展关系。本文选取了2006 - 2018年的时间序列数据。运用单位根检验、协整检验、OLS估计、格兰杰因果检验和误差修正模型研究跨境电子商务与中国对外贸易增长的互动发展关系。最后,根据中国跨境电子商务存在的问题和实证研究结果,提出运用跨境电子商务促进中国对外贸易增长的对策建议。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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