The global shortage of semiconductor components as a source of the current crisis in the global automotive industry

G. Shcherbakov
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

Purpose: of this article is to identify the causes of the automotive industry crisis in 2020–2022, which led to the shutdown of the conveyor lines of the largest automotive companies around the world, based on the study of the degree of dependence of the automotive industry on microelectronic components.Methods: in preparing the work, a complex of scientific research methods was used, in particular, the method of system analysis, as well as conceptual-methodological and logical methods.Results: during the COVID-19 pandemic, the global automotive industry faced two unforeseen shocks that virtually paralyzed production output. The first of them was associated with a deep drop in demand for automotive products. The second – with the complete depletion of the semiconductor industry's production capacity for the release of critical microcircuits necessary for the production of cars. Both events, directly related to the change in consumer behavior during the pandemic, provoked a severe industry crisis, in which the automotive industry has been to this day. The resulting shortage showed the fragility of existing supply chains and the precariousness of the practice of "immediate production" in emergency economic conditions.Conclusions and Relevance: the crisis of the automotive industry in 2020–2021 proceeded in two stages and was triggered by two mutually exclusive reasons from the point of view of economic theory. The first stage is a drop in demand, a «classic» crisis of overproduction. The second stage of the crisis is a chronic (continuing for a long time) shortage of microelectronic components for automotive production. It is this phenomenon that does not fit into the framework of a generalized understanding of the functioning of market economy mechanisms.
半导体元件的全球短缺是当前全球汽车工业危机的一个根源
本文的目的是通过对汽车行业对微电子元件的依赖程度的研究,找出导致全球最大汽车公司的输送线关闭的2020-2022年汽车行业危机的原因。方法:在准备工作中,采用了综合的科学研究方法,特别是系统分析方法,以及概念方法和逻辑方法。结果:在2019冠状病毒病大流行期间,全球汽车行业面临两次无法预料的冲击,几乎使生产陷入瘫痪。第一次危机与汽车产品需求的大幅下降有关。第二种情况是,为了生产汽车所必需的关键微电路,半导体工业的生产能力将完全枯竭。这两件事都与大流行期间消费者行为的变化直接相关,引发了严重的行业危机,汽车行业至今仍处于危机之中。由此造成的短缺显示出现有供应链的脆弱性以及在紧急经济条件下"立即生产"做法的不稳定性。结论与关联:2020-2021年的汽车行业危机分两个阶段进行,从经济理论的角度来看,是由两个相互排斥的原因引发的。第一阶段是需求下降,这是生产过剩的“经典”危机。危机的第二阶段是用于汽车生产的微电子元件的长期(持续时间很长)短缺。正是这种现象不符合对市场经济机制运作的一般理解的框架。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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