Likelihood of Insurance Coverage on Damages Due to Level of Insecurity in Nigeria: Logistic Modeling Approach

Orumie, Ukamaka Cynthia, D. C. Bartholomew, C. P. Obite, Kiwu Chizoba Lawrence
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

Insurance serves as a protection against the unexpected and it is one of the most effective risk management tools that protect individuals from being bankrupt due to various contingencies. The binary logistic regression model approach was used to model the described dataset; the model so obtained was statistically significant. All the levels of education were statistically significant in predicting the odds of having insurance cover except for primary education level. Also, employment status and age were statistically significant in predicting the likelihood for insurance cover in Nigeria. The results showed that individuals who move from no formal education to obtain Higher education level are 21.66 times more likely to obtain insurance cover and individuals who move from no formal education to obtain Secondary education level are 2.63 times more likely to obtain insurance cover. The odd ratio is not significant for moving from no formal education to Primary education and therefore should not be interpreted. Further, individuals who move from being unemployed to being employed are more likely to obtain insurance cover. Education has the highest impact in predicting the likelihood for one to have insurance cover in Nigeria. This paper recommends overhauling of the educational system in order to revamp this sector.
尼日利亚不安全程度导致损害的保险概率:逻辑模型法
保险是防范意外事故的一种手段,也是最有效的风险管理工具之一,可以保护个人不因各种意外事故而破产。我们采用二元逻辑回归模型法对所述数据集进行建模,得出的模型具有显著的统计学意义。除初等教育水平外,所有教育水平在预测投保几率方面都具有统计学意义。此外,就业状况和年龄在预测尼日利亚投保可能性方面也具有统计学意义。结果显示,从未曾接受过正规教育到获得高等教育水平的人获得保险的可能性要高出 21.66 倍,而从未曾接受过正规教育到获得中等教育水平的人获得保险的可能性要高出 2.63 倍。从未曾接受过正规教育到接受过初等教育的奇数比率并不显著,因此不应加以解释。此外,从失业到就业的个人更有可能获得保险保障。在尼日利亚,教育对预测一个人获得保险的可能性影响最大。本文建议全面改革教育系统,以重振这一行业。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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