Modelling of Uncertainty on Late Delivery for Construction Industry in Environmental Issues: A Preliminary Review

Z. Baharum, Salinin Ngadiman, N. Mustaffa
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

The construction industry has many underlying causes and factors of uncertainty that impact on project completion schedule and time management. Uncertainties in design, procurement, operation and environmental issues are the major sources in construction project that should be managed. Most of researchers proposed a modelling and simulation techniques to solve these uncertainties problem nevertheless not for environmental issues. However, the environmental issues were also leading in significant deviations for project schedule as well in time management. The aims of this paper is to develop an initial model of uncertainty modelling to manage the underlying causes and factors that impact in environmental issue (EI) for construction industry (CI). The uncertainty structure is also presented to show the flows of uncertainty process which will be implemented in this case study as well. The simulation modelling and experimental study will base on a real case study and will verify and validate this suggestion. The validated model might be used as guidance to construction planners and managers to plan their project schedule. Further, the decision support system model-based will be developed for enhancement to integrate all uncertainty's sources to become as a powerful system in the direction of managing the uncertainty.
环境问题下建筑业延迟交付的不确定性建模:初步综述
建筑行业有许多潜在的原因和不确定性因素,影响项目完成进度和时间管理。设计、采购、运营和环境等方面的不确定性是建设项目管理的主要来源。大多数研究人员提出了建模和仿真技术来解决这些不确定性问题,但没有针对环境问题。然而,环境问题也导致了项目进度和时间管理的重大偏差。本文的目的是开发一个不确定性建模的初始模型,以管理影响建筑行业环境问题(EI)的潜在原因和因素。本文还提出了不确定性结构来表示不确定性过程的流程,并将在本案例研究中实施。仿真建模和实验研究将基于实际案例研究,并将验证和验证该建议。经验证的模型可作为施工计划人员和管理人员规划项目进度的指导。在此基础上,进一步发展基于模型的决策支持系统,以整合所有不确定性的来源,使之成为一个强大的不确定性管理系统。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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