The Severity of Maritime Traffic Accidents Prediction Method Based on Bilayer GA-SVM

Jiangtao Li, Guozhu Hao, Yunhua Sun
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

With the further development of maritime transportation, maritime traffic safety and the consequences of accidents have also been paid more and more attention. In order to improve the predictive accuracy of ranking ship traffic accident and solve the problem of insufficient accuracy in the existing ship accident prediction, this paper studies the idea of multi-layer classification. Based on ship accident data, a two-layer GA-SVM model is designed to achieve accurate classification of ship accident types and levels, also, comparing with other methods. The result shows a good predictive effect, which can provide a decision-making guidance for the safe navigation of ships.
基于双层GA-SVM的海上交通事故严重程度预测方法
随着海上运输的进一步发展,海上交通安全和事故后果也越来越受到人们的重视。为了提高船舶交通事故排序的预测精度,解决现有船舶事故预测精度不足的问题,本文研究了多层分类的思想。基于船舶事故数据,设计了一种两层GA-SVM模型,与其他方法相比,实现了船舶事故类型和级别的准确分类。结果表明,该方法具有较好的预测效果,可为船舶安全航行提供决策指导。
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