Data Requirements for an Operational Weather Prediction System in the 1990's

J. B. Hovermale
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Abstract

In order to meet societal needs for improved weather forecasts, old and new technology must be blended to provide a more detailed and spatially broader view of the atmosphere. Advancing technology, and its associated needs for efficiency, have increased demands for weather information at both short ranges (1-2 days) and extended ranges (1 week-1 month). Over the past two decades the introduction of improved mathematical techniques and electronic technology have allowed a more precise application of the laws of physics to the atmosphere, leading to significant increases in prediction accuracy. There is ample evidence that further advances in predictive ability can be achieved if inherent approximations remaining in the numerical weather prediction (NWP) system are made with more precision.
1990年代运作天气预报系统所需的资料
为了满足社会对改进天气预报的需求,必须将新旧技术相结合,以提供更详细和空间更广阔的大气视图。科技的进步及其对效率的要求,增加了对短距离(1-2天)和远距离(1周-1个月)天气资料的需求。在过去的二十年里,改进的数学技术和电子技术的引入,使得物理定律更精确地应用于大气,从而大大提高了预测的准确性。有充分的证据表明,如果数值天气预报(NWP)系统中剩余的固有近似值更精确,则可以进一步提高预测能力。
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