Current status and development trend on capacity credit of intermittent renewable energy

Lijuan Chen, Qiong Xu, Pingliang Zeng, Xiaohui Xu, Bingtuan Gao
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Abstract

As the renewable energy scale increases rapidly, evaluation of intermittent energy capacity credit (IECC) is becoming one of the hottest issues in power system planning. Ignoring IECC will lead to serious waste; however, high expectations of IECC will bring risk to the reliability of power system. In order to evaluate IECC accurately, firstly, uncertainly factors on IECC are analyzed from multiple angles, and the main assessment process of IECC is presented. Based on the various IECC calculation methods of single intermittent energy, the adaptive methods of wide-scale multiple intermittent energy are put forward. Finally, improvement measures of capacity credit are advanced from aspects of multiple energy output correlation, power grid side, demand side, and energy storage. The research hotspots and developing directions are discussed.
间歇性可再生能源容量信贷的现状及发展趋势
随着可再生能源规模的迅速扩大,间歇性能源容量信用评价已成为电力系统规划中的热点问题之一。忽视IECC将导致严重的浪费;然而,对IECC的过高期望会给电力系统的可靠性带来风险。为了准确地评价综合承载力承载力,首先从多角度分析综合承载力承载力的不确定性因素,给出综合承载力承载力的主要评价过程。在分析单一间歇能量的各种IECC计算方法的基础上,提出了大尺度多重间歇能量的自适应计算方法。最后,从多能量输出关联、电网侧、需求侧、储能侧等方面提出了容量信贷的改进措施。讨论了研究热点和发展方向。
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