Economic Impact of the ASEAN-China Free Trade Agreement on Philippine Fresh Banana Exports

Joana Rooke de Lima, Bates M. Bathan
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引用次数: 3

Abstract

The study determined the economic impact of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN)-China Free Trade Agreement (ACFTA) on Philippine fresh banana exports covering the period 1990-2013. Results of the shift and share analysis revealed that ACFTA was not trade creating but rather diverted the trade of the Philippines from Japan to ASEAN member countries and to China. The country’s fresh banana exports to China were also not price competitive before and after the zero tariff regime in ACFTA. In terms of quality competitiveness, the Philippine fresh banana exports to China were also not competitive due to the stricter sanitary and phytosanitary (SPS) measures adopted by China for the country’s fresh banana exports. Using multiple regression analysis, the volume and value of Philippine fresh banana exports to China were significantly affected by tariff, real domestic price, trade disputes, and SPS measures. It was recommended that the Philippines should improve local production of fresh bananas, reduce marketing costs in the fresh banana chain, address trade dispute with China, improve and harmonize SPS standards, and explore other markets for fresh banana exports.
中国-东盟自由贸易协定对菲律宾新鲜香蕉出口的经济影响
该研究确定了1990年至2013年期间东南亚国家联盟(东盟)-中国自由贸易协定(ACFTA)对菲律宾新鲜香蕉出口的经济影响。转移和份额分析的结果表明,ACFTA不是贸易创造,而是将菲律宾的贸易从日本转移到东盟成员国和中国。在ACFTA零关税制度之前和之后,该国向中国出口的新鲜香蕉也没有价格竞争力。在质量竞争力方面,由于中国对菲律宾新鲜香蕉出口采取了更严格的卫生和植物检疫(SPS)措施,菲律宾新鲜香蕉出口到中国也没有竞争力。通过多元回归分析,菲律宾鲜香蕉出口到中国的数量和价值受到关税、国内实际价格、贸易争端和SPS措施的显著影响。会议建议菲律宾提高当地新鲜香蕉生产,降低新鲜香蕉链的营销成本,解决与中国的贸易争端,提高和协调SPS标准,并开拓新鲜香蕉出口的其他市场。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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