Applied Bayesian Network Risk Assessment for Collision Accidents between Fishing Vessels and Cargo Vessels

Abstract

In this paper ， an analytical methodology ofrisk assessrnent is proposed according to the guidelines fbr FSA （ Formal Safety Assessment ） approved by IMO ． And the cellision accidents between fishing yessels and cargo ves − sels ， having their high 丘 equency and their enormous damages ， are taken as analytical apPlicatien ． EspeciaUy in the process ofrisk analysis ， Bayesian network theory has been applied to clarify a causal relationship ． And 孟 n the process of evaluation of RCO （ Risk Control Option ） ， evaluation methodolegy which is applied Bayesian netWork theory are created ． And ， trial evaluation of RCOs fbr collision between fishing vessel a 皿 d cargo vessel are at − tempted through calculating of dominance index which is defined to evaluate an effectiveness ofRCO against this type of accident ， Furthermore ， trial cost benefit analysis for RCOs are considered through GCAF （ Gross Cost of Averting Fatality ） in FSA ．