DSS development on toll expressway financial risk monitoring

Abstract

Toll expressway financial risk problem is being paid more and more attention nowadays, because which may induce local government debt risks. This paper focuses on the issues about toll expressway financial risk, and presents a set of monitoring, analyzing and management solution. At first, toll expressway financial risk indexes were designed, which considered not only the current but also the potential solvency about the payment ability of each toll expressway project. Secondly, four risk levels and alerting values were defined by means of those indexes estimation. Meanwhile, corresponding actions were suggested according to risk levels. Thirdly, the decision support system (DSS) was developed on toll expressway financial risk monitoring, and a case study was conducted as well. In the case study, the financial risk level of each project was easily identified by different colors, such as red standing for serious situation. The research achievements provide technical supports and decision-making references for monitoring financial risks of toll expressway projects.