The Peace Process

Jérome Slater
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Abstract

The last serious political negotiations between Israel and the Palestinians occurred between 2003 and 2008. The Road Map initiative of 2003 died because Sharon sabotaged it and the Bush administration abandoned it. Sharon’s intransigence also killed the Geneva Accords, a comprehensive two-state peace settlement negotiated between leading Israeli and Palestinian dovish political leaders. Similarly, the Arab Peace Initiative was ignored by Israel. However, the 2008 secret negotiations between Israeli prime minister Ehud Olmert and PA president Mahmoud Abbas, apparently came close to success but died when Olmert was replaced by Benjamin Netanyahu. Netanyahu had long history of opposing the creation of a Palestinian state. Although early in his presidency Obama had indicated support for a two-state settlement, he backed down when confronted with Netanyahu’s intransigence rather than risk a conflict not only with Israel but also with the US Congress and the Israeli lobby.
和平进程
以色列和巴勒斯坦之间最后一次严肃的政治谈判发生在2003年至2008年之间。2003年的路线图倡议因沙龙的破坏和布什政府的放弃而夭折。沙龙的不妥协态度也扼杀了《日内瓦协议》,这是以色列和巴勒斯坦鸽派政治领袖通过谈判达成的全面两国和平解决方案。同样,《阿拉伯和平倡议》也被以色列忽视。然而,2008年以色列总理埃胡德·奥尔默特和巴勒斯坦权力机构主席马哈茂德·阿巴斯之间的秘密谈判显然接近成功,但在奥尔默特被本杰明·内塔尼亚胡取代后夭折。内塔尼亚胡长期以来一直反对建立一个巴勒斯坦国。尽管奥巴马在担任总统之初曾表示支持两国方案,但在面对内塔尼亚胡的不妥协时,他放弃了,而不是冒着不仅与以色列、还与美国国会和以色列游说团体发生冲突的风险。
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