Pengaruh ekspor, utang luar negeri, neraca transaksi berjalan dan neraca transaksi modal terhadap cadangan devisa di Indonesia

e-Journal Perdagangan Industri dan Moneter Pub Date : 2020-04-01 DOI:10.22437/pim.v8i1.7861

Graselita Aritonang, A. Amril, Zulgani Zulgani

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Abstract

The purpose of this study is to (1) see the description of Indonesia's foreign exchange reserves, exports, foreign debt, current account balance, and capital account balance for the period 1998-2017. (2) analyze the effect of exports, foreign debt, current account balance, and capital account balance on Indonesia's foreign exchange reserves. The method used in this research is quantitative descriptive analysis with multiple regression model analysis using the Ordinary Least Square (OLS) method. The results of this study show that the average development of Indonesia's foreign exchange reserves is 11.87 percent, exports are 7.38 percent, foreign debt is 4.51 percent, the current account balance is 514.89 percent and the capital account balance is 66.92 percent. Based on the results of the analysis carried out by exports, foreign debt, current account balance, and capital account have a positive and significant effect on foreign exchange reserves with a coefficient of determination of 98.37 percent. Keywords: Foreign exchange, export, Foreign debt, Current account, Capital account

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出口国、外债、经常交易和资本交易对印尼外汇储备的影响

本研究的目的是(1)查看1998-2017年期间印度尼西亚外汇储备、出口、外债、经常账户余额和资本账户余额的描述。(2)分析出口、外债、经常项目余额和资本项目余额对印尼外汇储备的影响。本研究采用的方法是定量描述性分析，采用普通最小二乘(OLS)方法进行多元回归模型分析。研究结果表明，印尼外汇储备的平均发展率为11.87%，出口为7.38%，外债为4.51%，经常项目余额为514.89%，资本项目余额为66.92%。从出口的分析结果来看，外债、经常项目余额和资本项目对外汇储备的正向显著影响，其决定系数为98.37%。关键词:外汇，出口，外债，经常项目，资本项目

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e-Journal Perdagangan Industri dan Moneter

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