Design Criteria-Based Probabilistic Estimation Method for Aged Apartment Remodeling Projects in Korea

Jun Kim, H. Cha
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Abstract

As apartment get older, it is required to extend the life of the buildings through remodeling and reconstruction. In this situation, members of the apartment choose one of two options. The most important thing in this choice is economical feasibility, which is greatly influenced by the construction cost. There are many cases of reconstruction projects, and accurate construction cost can be calculated. However, remodeling projects are very rare and it is difficult to calculate accurate construction cost. In addition, the remodeling is not only difficult for the members to communicate the design criteria to contractors, but also takes time to reflect them in the estimation, which also affects the decision making. Therefore, this study proposes an estimation method that can integrate the design criteria with in cost. To do this, this study analyzes design criteria based on the previous remodeling cases and classifies them to derive Design Criteria that are required by the members. And it also proposes a range of construction cost by introducing range estimation process to measure the effect of construction cost on each design criterion. In conclusion, this study has been developed an easy-to-use estimation program by combining Excel and Sketchup software. If remodeling cases accumulate in the future, the accuracy and usability of the program are expected to increase. © 2019 The Authors. Published by Budapest University of Technology and Economics & Diamond Congress Ltd. Peer-review under responsibility of the scientific committee of the Creative Construction Conference 2019.
基于设计准则的韩国老年公寓改造项目概率估计方法
随着公寓的老化,需要通过改造和重建来延长建筑物的寿命。在这种情况下,公寓的成员有两种选择。在这种选择中最重要的是经济可行性,而经济可行性受建设成本的影响很大。改造工程的案例很多,可以准确的计算出施工成本。然而,改造工程非常罕见,难以准确计算施工成本。此外,改造不仅成员难以与承包商沟通设计标准,而且需要时间来反映在评估中,这也影响了决策。因此,本研究提出一种将设计准则与成本相结合的估算方法。为此,本研究基于以往的改造案例分析设计标准,并对其进行分类,得出成员所需的设计标准。并通过引入极差估算方法,提出了工程造价的范围,以衡量工程造价对各设计指标的影响。综上所述,本研究结合Excel和Sketchup软件开发了一个易于使用的估算程序。如果在未来重塑案例的积累,该程序的准确性和可用性有望增加。©2019作者。由布达佩斯科技经济大学和钻石大会有限公司出版。由2019创意建设大会科学委员会负责同行评审。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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