Assessment of the Reasons for the Termination of Company's Operations in a Pandemic 2021

I. Pinkovetskaia
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Abstract

The relevance of studying the problem of entrepreneurs leaving their business has increased significantly in recent years due to the fact that under the influence of the consequences of the COVID-19 pandemic, this process has significantly accelerated. Therefore, one of the possible reasons for the termination of entrepreneurial activity starting in 2020 is the negative consequences of the pandemic, along with other possible positive and negative options for leaving the business. The purpose of the study was to assess the opinion of entrepreneurs who have ceased their activities about the reasons for this according to the results of surveys conducted in a number of countries in 2021. The objectives of the study were: formation of a database of initial data reflecting the opinions of retired entrepreneurs about the reasons for this; development of mathematical models describing the distribution of empirical data across different countries; evaluation of the values of indicators characterizing the exit from business for positive reasons, as well as negative reasons related and unrelated to the pandemic. The initial data were the results of a survey of entrepreneurs in 47 countries during the work on the Global Entrepreneurship Monitoring project. An assessment of four indicators characterizing the positive and negative reasons for the termination of their activities by entrepreneurs was carried out. Empirical data modeling based on the development of normal distribution density functions was used to evaluate the indicators. It is proved that the majority (58.1%) of all entrepreneurs who stopped their activities did so for negative reasons, but not related to the COVID-19 pandemic. It is proved that almost a quarter (23.7%) of all entrepreneurs who stopped their business were forced to do so due to the negative consequences of the pandemic. It is shown that only one in six entrepreneurs who stopped their activities had positive reasons for leaving their business in 2021. The obtained results make a significant contribution to the existing knowledge about the reasons for the termination of entrepreneurial activity in modern national economies.
在疫情中终止公司业务的原因评估2021
近年来,在新冠肺炎疫情影响下,创业者创业的进程明显加快,研究创业者创业问题的相关性显著增强。因此,从2020年开始终止创业活动的一个可能原因是大流行的负面后果,以及退出企业的其他可能的积极和消极选择。该研究的目的是根据2021年在多个国家进行的调查结果,评估停止活动的企业家对其原因的看法。这项研究的目的是:建立一个反映退休企业家对其原因的意见的初始数据数据库;建立描述不同国家经验数据分布的数学模型;对反映因积极原因以及与大流行有关和无关的消极原因而退出业务的指标值进行评估。最初的数据是在全球企业精神监测项目工作期间对47个国家的企业家进行调查的结果。对企业家终止其活动的正面和负面原因的四个指标进行了评估。采用基于正态分布密度函数发展的经验数据模型对指标进行评价。据调查,大部分(58.1%)的企业家是出于负面原因而停止活动,但与新冠肺炎疫情无关。事实证明,在所有歇业的企业家中,近四分之一(23.7%)是由于疫情的负面影响而被迫歇业的。据调查,2021年,每6名停止经营活动的企业家中,只有1人有积极的理由离开企业。所得结果对现代国民经济中创业活动终止原因的现有知识作出了重大贡献。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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