ACCIDENT PREDICTION MODEL FOR HIGHWAYS WITH REST AREA BY USING POISSON AND BINOMIAL REGRESSION MODEL

Chalat Tipakornkiat
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引用次数: 4

Abstract

Currently, rest area positively impacts on road users in terms of business points and information providers; however, the important task of rest area is reducing the number of road accident cause of fatigue. In the past, truck drivers in Thailand usually parked their vehicles on the roadside or shoulder, which these harmful areas could generate road accidents when parked vehicles move out from the road shoulder to the travelled way. In Thailand, road accident situation is top 10 of the world. Research objectives consist of the determination of influencing factors that affect the road accident within upstream and downstream 16 km of rest areas in Thailand and built the accident prediction models. It was found out that main variables such as serviceability of rest areas and the number of the truck users in rest areas are significantly impacted into the accident prediction model. In summary, rest areas could help to reduce the number of road accidents.
基于泊松和二项回归模型的休息区公路事故预测模型
目前,休息区对道路使用者的正面影响表现在营业点和信息提供者方面;然而,休息区的重要任务是减少因疲劳引起的交通事故的数量。过去,泰国的卡车司机通常将车辆停在路边或路肩,当停放的车辆从路肩移到行驶的道路上时,这些有害区域可能会产生道路事故。在泰国,道路交通事故的情况是世界前10名。研究目标为确定泰国休息区上下游16公里范围内道路交通事故的影响因素,建立事故预测模型。研究发现,休息区的可服务性、休息区货车使用人数等主要变量对事故预测模型有显著影响。总之,休息区可以帮助减少交通事故的数量。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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