Risk identification and analysis concurrently: Group Decision Making afpproach

S. Mojtahedi, S. Mousavi, A. Makoui
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引用次数: 17

Abstract

The identification and analysis of project risks among potential risks is a multi attribute group decision making problem. Conventional approaches to risk identification and risk analysis separately tend to be less effective in dealing with the imprecise of the risk analysis individually. The aim of this paper is to present a new methodology for identifying and analyzing risks concurrently by applying Multi Attribute Group Decision Making (MAGDM). The paper includes a new procedure for classifying potential risks which it is the Potential Risks Breakdown Structure (PRBS) based on project Work Breakdown Structure (WBS). Moreover, lessons learned and Nominal Group Technique (NGT) are utilized for gathering potential risks. Obtained results have been applied in gas refinery plant construction successfully.
风险识别与分析并行:群体决策方法
潜在风险中的项目风险识别与分析是一个多属性群体决策问题。传统的风险识别和风险分析方法在单独处理风险分析的不精确性时往往效果较差。本文提出了一种基于多属性群决策(MAGDM)的风险识别与分析方法。本文在项目工作分解结构(WBS)的基础上提出了一种新的潜在风险分类方法——潜在风险分解结构(PRBS)。此外,利用经验教训和名义群技术(NGT)收集潜在风险。所得结果已成功地应用于炼油厂的建设中。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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