{"title":"COVID-19 Prediction and analysis using Neural Network and Pearson Correlation","authors":"Suyog S. Sawant, Aaryan Agrawal, Kavita Tewari","doi":"10.1109/icac353642.2021.9697225","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"In the present study, a neural network-based predictive model has been used to predict the trend of the second wave of COVID-19 in a few countries, namely the US, UK, Brazil, South Africa, and India. The Neural Network model was trained for the rise of first-wave and refined predicting and comparing the predictions with the observed trends of the second waves in these countries. As the US has seen a clear-cut arrival of third-wave, the methodused was a neural network tool on Matlab software to predict the covid-19 wave pattern and later used to have a prediction of third-wave in India. Pearson correlation coefficient between the covid first wave and second wave for five countries was also computed and results were rationalized in terms of the extent of population vaccinated in these countries.","PeriodicalId":196238,"journal":{"name":"2021 International Conference on Advances in Computing, Communication, and Control (ICAC3)","volume":"143 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2021-12-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"2021 International Conference on Advances in Computing, Communication, and Control (ICAC3)","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1109/icac353642.2021.9697225","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
In the present study, a neural network-based predictive model has been used to predict the trend of the second wave of COVID-19 in a few countries, namely the US, UK, Brazil, South Africa, and India. The Neural Network model was trained for the rise of first-wave and refined predicting and comparing the predictions with the observed trends of the second waves in these countries. As the US has seen a clear-cut arrival of third-wave, the methodused was a neural network tool on Matlab software to predict the covid-19 wave pattern and later used to have a prediction of third-wave in India. Pearson correlation coefficient between the covid first wave and second wave for five countries was also computed and results were rationalized in terms of the extent of population vaccinated in these countries.