Businessmen Support Amidst the Turmoil: The Second Year of Bolsonaro’s Presidency in Brazil

Carolina Moehlecke
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

The second year of Jair Bolsonaro's presidency in Brazil has been marked by multiple sources of pressure on the government. The COVID-19 pandemic has taken its toll on Brazilian lives, on the national health system and on the country's already sluggish economy. Hitting close to home, Bolsonaro has witnessed the beginning of several investigations against his also politician sons and increasing pledges for moderation from Centrao, the informal and yet powerful centrist coalition that has historically shaped Brazilian politics. Moreover, criticism from external markets and foreign powers regarding Brazil's mishandling of environmental policies has been constant, while Bolsonaro's campaign promises of economic liberalization remained largely unfulfilled. Quite puzzling though, domestic businessmen approval of the president increased over the year, as I show through the analyses of survey data. What explains this group's persistent support for Bolsonaro? This article reviews some of the main political events in Brazil in 2020 and it uses in-sights from International Political Economy and Brazilian politics scholarships to advance hypotheses that can explain why those who self-identify as businessmen remain steadfast supporters of the president, even amidst the economic, social, and sanitary turmoil in the country.
动荡中的商人支持:博尔索纳罗在巴西担任总统的第二年
雅伊尔·博尔索纳罗(Jair Bolsonaro)在巴西担任总统的第二年,政府面临着多重压力。2019冠状病毒病大流行给巴西人的生命、国家卫生系统和该国本已低迷的经济造成了损失。在离家很近的地方,博尔索纳罗目睹了几项针对他同样是政客的儿子的调查的开始,以及Centrao越来越多的温和承诺,Centrao是一个非正式但强大的中间派联盟,在历史上塑造了巴西的政治。此外,外部市场和外国势力对巴西环境政策处理不当的批评不断,而博尔索纳罗的经济自由化竞选承诺在很大程度上仍未实现。但令人困惑的是,国内企业家对总统的支持率在一年内有所上升,这是我通过调查数据分析得出的结果。如何解释该组织对博尔索纳罗的持续支持?本文回顾了2020年巴西的一些主要政治事件,并利用国际政治经济学和巴西政治奖学金的见解提出了一些假设,可以解释为什么那些自称为商人的人即使在经济、社会和卫生动荡的情况下仍然坚定地支持总统。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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