The implications of covid-19 on the shipping/oil tanker market.

Ogoun Ogoun
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Abstract

Purpose: This aims at analyzing the implications of covid-19 on the shipping/oil tanker market. Methodology: In order to attain the aim of this study, findings and data are curated from existing literatures, documents, policies, etc. This implies that desk review is the methodology applied in this study where the researcher made use of secondary sources of data as against primary source of data. Findings: In the study, it was found that covid-19 brought about a shortage in the rate of demands for good thereby causing an unbalance in the rate of supply over demand at a time which directly brought about a huge decline in shipping/oil tanker transportation. The study also found that irrespective of the huge decline in the rate of shipping/oil tanker transportation brought about by low demand in comparison with supply; shipping/oil tanker was patronized by dealers for the purpose of storage of products. Also, the study found that seaborne trade fell downward from above 3% to below a negative 8% and at a bdp rate of 100m, the demand was 3% higher than the global supply which in 2019 was at about 97%. However, in the second quarter of 2020 the supply leads demand at over 28M bdp and a 13% increase in the demand year-on-year when compared to a fall of 3.9% in the supply year-on-year. Recommendation: The study recommends that appropriate forecasting methods and proper liaison with global health will aid in averting or ameliorating the risks and negative impacts brought on shipping/oil tanker market by covid-19.
covid-19对航运/油轮市场的影响。
目的:旨在分析covid-19对航运/油轮市场的影响。方法:为了达到本研究的目的,研究结果和数据来自现有的文献、文件、政策等。这意味着桌面审查是本研究中应用的方法,研究人员利用了二手数据来源,而不是主要数据来源。研究发现,2019冠状病毒病导致货物需求短缺,从而造成供过于求的不平衡,同时直接导致航运/油轮运输大幅下降。该研究还发现,尽管与供应相比,低需求带来了航运/油轮运输率的大幅下降;船舶/油轮被经销商光顾,用于储存产品。此外,该研究发现,海运贸易从3%以上下降到负8%以下,以1亿桶/日的速度计算,需求比全球供应量高出3%,2019年全球供应量约为97%。然而,在2020年第二季度,供应领先需求超过2800万桶/天,需求同比增长13%,而供应同比下降3.9%。建议:该研究建议,适当的预测方法和与全球卫生部门的适当联系将有助于避免或减轻covid-19给航运/油轮市场带来的风险和负面影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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