New Venture Performance

Abstract

This note examines the pros and conss of two ways to build new ventures. The former is called causal or predictive, because it depends on accurate predictions and clear goals. The latter is effectual or nonpredictive, and it is extremely stakeholder-dependent and means-driven. It is very tempting to jump to the conclusion that the latter is the better way since it is overwhelmingly preferred by expert entrepreneurs. But is that really so?