Politics and Life after Trump

John R. Hibbing
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Abstract

In this chapter, consideration is given to American politics in the post-Trump era. In light of the importance of securitarian orientations to Trump’s political rise, the chapter looks at the distribution of securitarians across the life cycle and across racial groups. Generational replacement is likely to lower the number of securitarians but the relatively large number of black securitarians could increase it. Other wings of the Republican Party tend to share securitarians’ general policy preferences, and this fact could keep the Republican coalition together, though strains will result from some people’s intense attachment to Trump himself. The biggest challenges facing the country will revolve around democratic values and political civility, both of which have been set back significantly. The struggle between securitarians and unitarians is the most fundamental of conflicts and needs to be understood if democracy is to be preserved in the post-Trump era.
特朗普之后的政治和生活
本章主要考察后特朗普时代的美国政治。鉴于安全主义取向对特朗普政治崛起的重要性,本章考察了安全主义者在整个生命周期和不同种族群体中的分布。代际更替可能会降低保安人员的数量,但相对较多的黑人保安人员可能会增加。共和党的其他派别倾向于分享安全主义者的总体政策偏好,这一事实可能会使共和党联盟保持团结,尽管一些人对特朗普本人的强烈依恋会导致紧张。该国面临的最大挑战将围绕民主价值观和政治文明展开,这两者都已严重倒退。安保派和一神派之间的斗争是最根本的冲突,如果要在后特朗普时代维护民主,就必须理解这一点。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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