Cynthia Mwende Mwau, P. Weke, Bundi Davis Ntwiga, J. Ottieno
{"title":"Estimation of aggregate losses of secondary cancer cases using PH Panjer class (a,b,1) distributions,","authors":"Cynthia Mwende Mwau, P. Weke, Bundi Davis Ntwiga, J. Ottieno","doi":"10.16929/as/2021.3041.194","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"This research in-cooperates phase type distributions of Panjer class \\((a,b,1)\\) in estimation of aggregate loss probabilities of secondary cancer. Matrices of the phase type distributions are derived using Chapman-Kolmogorov equation and transition probabilities estimated using modified Kaplan-Meir and consequently the transition intensities and transition probabilities. Stationary probabilities of the Markov chains represents $\\vec{\\gamma}$. Claim amount are modeled using OPPL, TPPL, Pareto, Generalized Pareto and Wei-bull distributions. PH ZT Poisson with Generalized Pareto distribution provided the best fit.","PeriodicalId":430341,"journal":{"name":"Afrika Statistika","volume":"8 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2021-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Afrika Statistika","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.16929/as/2021.3041.194","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
This research in-cooperates phase type distributions of Panjer class \((a,b,1)\) in estimation of aggregate loss probabilities of secondary cancer. Matrices of the phase type distributions are derived using Chapman-Kolmogorov equation and transition probabilities estimated using modified Kaplan-Meir and consequently the transition intensities and transition probabilities. Stationary probabilities of the Markov chains represents $\vec{\gamma}$. Claim amount are modeled using OPPL, TPPL, Pareto, Generalized Pareto and Wei-bull distributions. PH ZT Poisson with Generalized Pareto distribution provided the best fit.