Estimation of aggregate losses of secondary cancer cases using PH Panjer class (a,b,1) distributions,

Cynthia Mwende Mwau, P. Weke, Bundi Davis Ntwiga, J. Ottieno
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Abstract

This research in-cooperates phase type distributions of Panjer class \((a,b,1)\) in estimation of aggregate loss probabilities of secondary cancer. Matrices of the phase type distributions are derived using Chapman-Kolmogorov equation and transition probabilities estimated using modified Kaplan-Meir and consequently the transition intensities and transition probabilities. Stationary probabilities of the Markov chains represents $\vec{\gamma}$. Claim amount are modeled using OPPL, TPPL, Pareto, Generalized Pareto and Wei-bull distributions. PH ZT Poisson with Generalized Pareto distribution provided the best fit.
利用PH Panjer类(a,b,1)分布估计继发性癌症病例的总损失
本研究采用Panjer类\((a,b,1)\)相型分布估计继发性肿瘤的总损失概率。利用Chapman-Kolmogorov方程推导了相型分布矩阵,利用改进的Kaplan-Meir方程估计了相变概率,从而得到了相变强度和相变概率。马尔可夫链的平稳概率表示$\vec{\gamma}$。索赔金额采用OPPL、TPPL、Pareto、广义Pareto和Wei-bull分布建模。具有广义Pareto分布的PH ZT泊松给出了最佳拟合。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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