Global Value Chains’ Participation and Logistics Performance in Post-Soviet Economies

Abdullaev Elbek Erkin Ugli
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Abstract

Abstract Post-Soviet countries have never been analysed in the global value chain (GVC) context. Therefore, in this study, we evaluate the degree of backward participation of GVCs in the manufacturing sector of post-Soviet countries. We also examine the quantitative linkage between GVCs and host countries’ logistics performance as a service-link component. We used the UNCTAD-Eora GVC database and employed a structural gravity trade model. The results illustrate a positive correlation between GVC backward participation in manufacturing and income levels in the post-Soviet economies. The empirical estimation using the structural gravity trade model demonstrates a quantitative linkage between GVC backward participation and the logistics performance of the host country. The level of logistics performance accounts for 70–80 percent of the degree of GVC backward participation. Our findings’ major policy implication is that post-Soviet economies’ logistics performance should be improved by erasing the Soviet era’s negative legacy. JEL Codes: F12, F13, F14, O57. Keywords: Global value chains, Logistics performance, Post-Soviet countries, Manufacturing, Structural gravity trade model.
后苏联经济中的全球价值链参与与物流绩效
摘要后苏联国家从未在全球价值链(GVC)的背景下进行分析。因此,在本研究中,我们评估了后苏联国家制造业中全球价值链的落后参与程度。我们还研究了全球价值链与东道国物流绩效之间的定量联系,作为服务链接的组成部分。我们使用了UNCTAD-Eora全球价值链数据库,并采用了结构性重力贸易模型。研究结果表明,后苏联经济中全球价值链对制造业的落后参与与收入水平之间存在正相关关系。利用结构性重力贸易模型的实证估计表明,全球价值链落后参与与东道国物流绩效之间存在定量联系。物流绩效水平占全球价值链落后参与程度的70 - 80%。我们的研究结果的主要政策含义是,后苏联经济的物流绩效应该通过消除苏联时代的负面遗产来改善。JEL代码:F12, F13, F14, O57。关键词:全球价值链,物流绩效,后苏联国家,制造业,结构性重力贸易模式
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