Research on a Reliability Prediction Method Based on Fuzzy Cognitive Map

Abstract

Generally in a method on reliability prediction for a system, there is an assumption that the process of each component failure is independent, irrelevant and not affected by other components. However, in the actual working process of a product, the life change caused by dynamic influences among the components of the product should not be negligible. In this paper, a method on reliability prediction based on fuzzy cognitive map is proposed, and a case study using system in package (SiP) is given to determine the life of each component of the SiP under the state of dynamic mutual influences.