APPLICATION OF EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING METHOD TO FORECASE THE AMOUNT OF RICE PRODUCTION IN TANATE RIAJA DISTRICT, BARRU REGENCY

Abstract

This study discusses the agricultural production of rice plans. The variabel used to predict the level of rice production in Tanete Riaja District, Barru Regency, are  as the total production of rice plants. This research is an applied research with double exponential smoothing method. The purpose of this study was to determine the amount of rice production in Tanete Riaja District, Barru Regency in 2021 to 2025. The results of forecasting the amount of rice production ini 2021 were  24134.18 tons, in 2022 25235.25 tons, in 2023 26336.32 tons, in 2024 it will be  27437.38 ton, and in 2025 it will be 28538.45 ton. Based on the results of forecasting the amount of rice production, it can be concluded that from year to year increased.