Emergency response study of space launch based on Decision Network Planning

Wei Wei, Xiwei Liu, Changjian Cheng
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Abstract

Space launch is a complex project with high risk, and failure of space launch may cause a great loss to people's life, property and important facilities. Thus a resonable and effective emergency response program is critical and important for space launch. First, a Decision Network Planning (DNP) method is proposed to describe logic relations of emergency response procedures, based on which the logical reasonability and rigor, coordination of several involved departments, timeliness of emergency measures and sufficiency of resources guarantee are evaluated. Then, the critical path and resource guaranteed rate are calculated to analyze the degree of control in the emergency process of space launch failure. Last, a case of filling leakage is used to show the helpfulness of the proposed method.
基于决策网络规划的航天发射应急响应研究
航天发射是一项复杂的高风险工程,一旦发射失败,将给人民生命财产和重要设施造成巨大损失。因此,合理有效的应急响应方案对航天发射至关重要。首先,提出了一种描述应急响应程序逻辑关系的决策网络规划(DNP)方法,在此基础上评价应急响应程序的逻辑合理性和严谨性、多个相关部门的协调性、应急措施的及时性和资源保障的充分性。然后,通过计算关键路径和资源保证率来分析航天发射故障应急过程中的控制程度。最后,以充填泄漏为例,说明了该方法的有效性。
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