Disillusionment and the Growth of Mass-Level Euroscepticism in Post-Communist East-Central Europe

B. Sokolov, E. Ponarin
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Abstract

This paper seeks to test if the disillusionment theory developed by Sokolov et al. (2018) to explain the rise of anti-Americanism in post-Soviet Russia, can also explain the recent growth of Euroscepticism in East-Central Europe (ECE). We provide anecdotal evidence of anti-EU disillusionment in the region and then test several empirical implications of the disillusionment theory using mass-level survey data from the European Social Survey (ESS). Our empirical findings are, however, contradictory. This suggests that the disillusionment model cannot be directly applied to the ECE case and should be modified to some extent. We propose two potential modifications. The first is based on David Laitin’s concept of “the most favored lords” and the second underscores the benefits that EU membership offers to the upper strata of Eastern European societies
后共产主义东欧的幻灭和大众层面的欧洲怀疑主义的增长
本文试图检验Sokolov等人(2018)提出的用于解释后苏联俄罗斯反美主义兴起的幻灭理论,是否也可以解释中东欧(ECE)最近欧洲怀疑主义的增长。我们提供了该地区反欧盟幻灭的轶事证据,然后使用欧洲社会调查(ESS)的大规模调查数据检验了幻灭理论的几个实证含义。然而,我们的实证发现是矛盾的。这表明幻灭模型不能直接适用于欧洲经委会的情况,应在一定程度上加以修改。我们提出两个可能的修改。前者基于大卫•莱廷(David Laitin)的“最受青睐的领主”概念,后者强调了欧盟成员国身份给东欧社会上层带来的好处
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