Scenario analysis for RES-E integration in Italy up to 2050

Abstract

The paper aims at analyzing four possible development scenarios of the Italian power system up to 2050 using the multi-regional model MATISSE (TIMES based). This study has been realized for the WP2 of the European project SUSPLAN that aims to develop strategies, recommendations and benchmarks for the integration of renewable energy sources (RES) in the European context on a time horizon stretching to 2050. The results of the study show, for each scenario, the different RES-E development, the fossil fuel dependency and CO2 emissions in the Italian power system. MATISSE may also “invest” in the development of the Italian electric grid, if considered cost-effective. Therefore the paper also shows how the spread of RES-E will affect the development of the electric grid in Italy.