A GRU-Based Short-Term Multi-energy Loads Forecast Approach for Integrated Energy System

Chaoqun Lu, Jian Li, Guangdou Zhang, Zixuan Zhao, Olusola Bamisile, Qi Huang
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Abstract

The dispatching and operation of integrated energy system (IES) is inseparable from accurate load forecasting. The interaction of various energy subsystems in IES makes each load have a strong coupling relationship. Mining this potential coupling is of great significance to short-term load forecasting. Using the feature that gate recurrent unit (GRU) can help in mining the potential relationship between data. A multi-energy coupling short-term load forecasting model based on GRU is constructed in this paper. Taking the historical data of multiple loads, temperature, air pressure, and solar irradiance of an area's IES as input, the trained model can accurately predict electricity, heat energy, and cooling.
基于gru的综合能源系统短期多能负荷预测方法
综合能源系统的调度与运行离不开准确的负荷预测。IES中各能源子系统的相互作用使各负荷具有强耦合关系。挖掘这种潜在耦合对短期负荷预测具有重要意义。利用栅极循环单元(GRU)的特征有助于挖掘数据之间的潜在关系。建立了基于GRU的多能耦合短期负荷预测模型。训练后的模型将一个地区IES的多个负荷、温度、气压和太阳辐照度的历史数据作为输入,可以准确预测电力、热能和制冷。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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