基于GM(1,1)模型的珠海横琴新区固定资产投资分析与预测 Analysis and Forecast on Investment in Fixed Assets of Hengqin New Area in Zhuhai Based on GM(1,1)

Abstract

作为中国国家级的新区，在过去的几年，珠海横琴新区正在经历着一个经济的高速发展阶段。在我们这个研究中，我们通过采用灰度预测技术分析及预测珠海横琴新区的经济发展。特别地，我们通过采用灰度预测的GM(1,1)模型，预测分析珠海横琴新区的自2010年到2015年的固定资产投资额。本文的研究分析得到了若干重要的结论。该分析不仅仅能为决策者提供相应的数据分析，同时也为即将在横琴投资的投资者提供相应的参考。 As a national-level New Area in China since 2009, Zhuhai Hengqin New Area has undertaken a very rapid growth of economic in the past few years. In this study, we investigate the economic devel-opment of Zhuhai Hengqin New Area on Investment in Fixed Assets based on the grey forecast model. In particular, the GM(1,1) model is used to analyze the volume of Investment in Fixed Assets from 2010 to 2015. Several interesting discoveries are found. This study will provide some guideline for both policymakers and investors.