A Study on the Evaluation Method of the Freeway Traffic Accidents Forewarning System

Chu Zhaoming, Cheng Lin
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Abstract

Evaluation method is a core technology in the freeway traffic accidents forewarning system. This paper used the Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation Model based on Analytic Hierarchy Process which integrated the advantages of both Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation and AHP. Based on the Fuzzy Theory, some evaluation factors that are difficult to quantify and whose boundaries are unclear have been quantified. In actual evaluations, Delphi Method is used to quantify the qualitative factors. The establishment of the criteria weight sets uses AHP. According to the principal of the forewarning system, the evaluation criteria system was established. Finally, an illustration is given to show how this method works. The result shows that Fuzzy comprehensive evaluation based on AHP is an effective method to evaluate the safety condition of a freeway system in the freeway traffic accidents forewarning system.
高速公路交通事故预警系统评价方法研究
评价方法是高速公路交通事故预警系统的核心技术。本文采用了基于层次分析法的模糊综合评价模型,该模型综合了模糊综合评价和层次分析法的优点。在模糊理论的基础上,对一些难以量化且边界不明确的评价因素进行了量化。在实际评价中,采用德尔菲法对定性因素进行量化。标准权重集的建立采用层次分析法。根据预警系统的原理,建立了预警系统的评价标准体系。最后,给出了一个实例来说明这种方法是如何工作的。结果表明,在高速公路交通事故预警系统中,基于层次分析法的模糊综合评价是评价高速公路系统安全状况的有效方法。
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