Analisis Pengaruh Pertumbuhan Ekonomi, Tingkat kemiskinan dan Indeks Kemiskinan terhadap besaran APBD di Provinsi Sumatera Selatan

Lamazi Sauki, Yudi Sudihartono
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Abstract

Some regencies/cities that have big Regional Government Budgets (RGB) come from Revenue Sharing Fund of Natural Resource show their economicindicators are lower than other regions. This study does to knowand analyse a correlation of RGB to economic growth, poverty level and Human Development Index at 17 regencies/cities of South Sumatra Province. The research data are from 2013 to 2017 come from BPKAD and BPS, and using quantitative research method that used descriptive statisticalanalyses to test each variable and analytic statistical analyses which is used scoring analyses and simple regression analyses.Revenue Sharing Fund is a component of central government transfer as one of RGB components so the bigger Revenue Sharing Fund of a region the bigger RGB of that region. Scoring analyses shows some regions that have big RGB in 2017 do not have better rankings and vice versa, some regions that have small RGB get better rankings. Simple regression analyses, from 2013 to 2017, shows that a RGB does not have a correlation to economic growth, poverty level and Human Development Index at 17 regencies/cities of South Sumatra Province. Hence, the bigger RGB is not significant its correlation to the increasing of economic growth, the decreasing of poverty level and the increasing of Human Development Index. Keywords: Economic Growth, Poverty Level,  HDI
分析经济增长、贫困水平和贫困指数对南苏门答腊APBD的影响
部分来自自然资源收益分成基金的地方财政预算较大的县市,其经济指标低于其他地区。本研究旨在了解和分析南苏门答腊省17个县/城市的RGB与经济增长、贫困水平和人类发展指数的相关性。研究数据来自BPKAD和BPS 2013 - 2017年,采用定量研究方法,采用描述性统计分析对各变量进行检验,分析性统计分析采用评分分析和简单回归分析。收入分成基金是中央政府转移支付的一个组成部分,是RGB的组成部分之一,一个地区的收入分成基金越大,该地区的RGB就越大。评分分析显示,2017年一些RGB大的地区排名并不靠前,反之,一些RGB小的地区排名反而靠前。2013年至2017年的简单回归分析表明,南苏门答腊省17个县/城市的RGB与经济增长、贫困水平和人类发展指数不存在相关性。因此,RGB越大,与经济增长的增加、贫困水平的下降和人类发展指数的增加的相关性不显著。关键词:经济增长,贫困水平,人类发展指数
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