Will You Marry Me ... if Our Children Are Healthy? The Impact of Maternal Age and the Associated Risk of Having a Child with Health Problems on Family Structure

Federico H. Gutierrez
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Abstract

Family structure is usually believed to affect children's human capital. Is it possible that causality goes in the opposite direction? This paper shows that the behavior of family structure variables over the life cycle dramatically changes when women have babies in their forties. These data regularities align with a significant increase in the risk of having a child with health problems when women enter the last decade of their reproductive life. I present a simple theoretical model that provides a common underlying explanation for the data patterns and generates additional testable implications. I estimate the model predictions using ACS data.
你愿意嫁给我吗?我们的孩子是否健康?产妇年龄和生育有健康问题儿童的相关风险对家庭结构的影响
家庭结构通常被认为会影响儿童的人力资本。有没有可能因果关系走向相反的方向?本文表明,当女性在40多岁生孩子时,整个生命周期中家庭结构变量的行为发生了巨大变化。这些数据规律与妇女进入生育期最后十年时所生的孩子有健康问题的风险显著增加相一致。我提出了一个简单的理论模型,它为数据模式提供了一个通用的底层解释,并生成了额外的可测试含义。我使用ACS数据估计模型预测。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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