Economic Crises: A Review and Directions for Research

T. Tambunan
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Abstract

This study examines the experience Indonesians had during the 1997/98 Asian financial crisis, the 2008/09 global financial crisis, and the 2020/2021 COVID-19 pandemic crisis. Specifically, this study, which has theoretical and practical contributions, addresses two research questions based on national data on macroeconomic variables, including economic growth, employment, and poverty. The first question focuses on the main transmission channels through which these three crises affected the economy. The second question addresses the impacts of these crises on economic growth, employment, and poverty. The findings suggest that crises have different transmission channels through which the economy is affected. This is because an economic crisis may not affect all businesses or sectors. It mainly depends on the type of crisis and the transmission channels. Furthermore, this study has two policy implications, including making fiscal stimulus packages to promote economic recovery effectively. Since the most affected companies need to be identified first, the type of crisis and its main transmission channel, as well as the related business risks need to be determined. Second, the stimulus needs to be in line with crisis adjustment or mitigation measures adopted by the targeted companies. This means the fiscal stimulus packages should complement the adopted crisis mitigation measures. Therefore, various measures in response to business risks need different policy approaches and stimulus packages. © 2022 by Nova Science Publishers, Inc.
经济危机:回顾与研究方向
本研究考察了印度尼西亚人在1997/98年亚洲金融危机、2008/09年全球金融危机和2020/2021年COVID-19大流行危机中的经历。具体而言,这项研究具有理论和实践贡献,它解决了两个基于国家宏观经济变量数据的研究问题,包括经济增长、就业和贫困。第一个问题关注的是这三次危机影响经济的主要传导渠道。第二个问题涉及这些危机对经济增长、就业和贫困的影响。研究结果表明,危机有不同的传播渠道,通过这些渠道,经济受到影响。这是因为经济危机可能不会影响到所有的企业或部门。这主要取决于危机的类型和传播渠道。此外,本研究具有两方面的政策启示,包括制定财政刺激方案,有效促进经济复苏。由于首先需要确定受影响最大的公司,因此需要确定危机的类型及其主要传播渠道,以及相关的业务风险。第二,刺激措施必须与目标企业采取的危机调整或缓解措施相一致。这意味着财政刺激方案应与已采取的缓解危机措施相辅相成。因此,应对商业风险的各种措施需要不同的政策手段和刺激方案。©2022 by Nova Science Publishers, Inc。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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