Expected demand for Electricity Residential sector in Nineveh governorate for the period (2004-2016) using Unobserved Components Model

Abstract

: This paper investigates studied the reality of the total monthly demand of Nineveh Province electricity for the period of (96) months between (2004-2012). The statistical analyses of the studied data showed that there is seasonal effective, general trend and random pattern .The Unobserved Components Model (UCM) was used in the series analysis and forecasting for four years’ prediction till 2016 was adopted. data