Discrete Bound Constrained Distribution Based Regional Integrated Energy System Capacity Allocation Model

Zhichao Qin, R. Zhou, Yiming Ren, Jincheng Li
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Abstract

The stochastic nature of the cooling and heating power loads and new energy power output in the regional integrated energy system leads to the difficulty of predicting their stochastic distribution characteristics and parameters during planning. Therefore, a discrete bounded constrained distribution method is used to solve the problem of uncertainty of stochastic distribution in their optimal allocation. A capacity allocation model of regional integrated energy system with discrete bounded distribution is established, and the model is converted into a deterministic semi-deterministic plan by Lagrangian dual principle. The simulation results show that although the investment and operation costs increase after considering the discrete bound constraint distribution, the load shedding loss is reduced to a certain extent; while the total system cost increases with the increase of the discrete bound perturbation range, the supply and sale of energy of the system is guaranteed, which is economical and reliable.
基于离散约束约束分布的区域综合能源系统容量分配模型
区域综合能源系统冷热负荷和新能源输出的随机性,导致规划时难以预测其随机分布特征和参数。因此,采用一种离散有界约束分布方法来解决其最优分配中随机分布的不确定性问题。建立了具有离散有界分布的区域综合能源系统容量分配模型,并利用拉格朗日对偶原理将该模型转化为确定性的半确定性规划。仿真结果表明,考虑离散约束分布后,虽然投资和运行成本增加,但减载损失在一定程度上有所降低;在系统总成本随着离散界摄动范围的增大而增大的同时,保证了系统的能量供应和销售,经济可靠。
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