Predicting impact of weather caused blackouts on electricity customers based on risk assessment

Abstract

This study evaluates the outage probability and electricity customer cost under the potential weather caused power blackouts. Risk assessment of the weather impact on customers is implemented and visualized in ArcGIS map. The methodology correlates the historical large power outage events with the corresponding weather condition of the time, uses weather forecast data to assess the risk for customers, and compares the results in different predicted weather conditions.