Intelligent Decision Support System and its Application in Science Research Project Selection

Wei-dong Zhu, Shi-ping Guan
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引用次数: 4

Abstract

Science research project selection is an important task for organizations with project management. It is a complicated multi-stage decision-making process, which involves groups of decision makers. Current research on research project selection mainly focuses on mathematical decision models and their applications, but ignores the organizational aspect of the decision-making process. This paper proposes an intelligent decision support system (IDSS) for research project selection. According to the evaluation information being characteristic of uncertain, fuzzy and incomplete information, the D-S theory of evidence was applied to aggregate the evaluation. At same time, the IDSS mines the expert’s information from the applications to acquire the weight of experts to make the selection process more true-life. The demonstration shows the ways this method is feasible. The IDSS with this method can provide useful information for decision-making tasks in the project selection process.
智能决策支持系统及其在科研项目选择中的应用
科研项目选择是项目管理组织的一项重要工作。这是一个复杂的多阶段决策过程,涉及多个决策者群体。目前关于科研项目选择的研究主要集中在数学决策模型及其应用上,而忽略了决策过程的组织方面。提出了一种用于科研项目选择的智能决策支持系统(IDSS)。针对评价信息具有不确定性、模糊性和不完全性的特点,运用D-S证据理论对评价信息进行汇总。同时,IDSS从应用中挖掘专家信息,获取专家权重,使选择过程更加真实。算例表明,该方法是可行的。该方法可为项目选择过程中的决策任务提供有用的信息。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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