Assessing the impact of the contribution of migration to the dynamics of unemployment in a cross-border region

Abstract

The factor determining social stability is the level of unemployment. For a crossborder region, the role of migration may be more significant than for other regions of the country. The mutual influence of migration and unemployment in the region is beyond doubt: the influx of migrants contributes to unemployment, and high unemployment can reduce the number of migrants in the region. To assess the mutual influence of such indicators, vector autoregression models and vector error correction models are used. Also, the analysis of impulse responses is used, which demonstrates the response of one indicator to a single shock in another.