Scenario Insight of Energy Transition

Ariana Soemanto, R. Koestoer
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Abstract

Almost all countries committed to tackling climate change as agreed in the Paris Agreement in 2015. In developed countries, the European Union (EU) issued the European Green Deal (EGD) with a target of 55% emissions reductions by 2030 and net zero emissions by 2050. Among developing countries, Indonesia has similar targets, which are 29% to 41% emission reductions by 2030 and net zero emissions by 2060 or sooner. EU countries and Indonesia also aim to implement energy transitions by increasing renewable energy shares, especially in the electricity sector, to reduce their emissions. Nevertheless, the EU countries have state-of-art research related to technologies and clean energy policies, allowing the EU as the first continent to commit to net-zero emissions by 2050. Our study aims to take lessons from recommendations in EGD and analyze their fitness for implementation in Indonesia. The research was conducted through a qualitative approach using secondary information and relevant references. We found that almost all recommendations for the energy transition in the EU electricity sector are relevant to Indonesia, except nuclear power plants and electricity tariff policies.
能源转型的情景洞察
几乎所有国家都承诺按照2015年《巴黎协定》的规定应对气候变化。在发达国家,欧盟(EU)发布了《欧洲绿色协议》(EGD),目标是到2030年减排55%,到2050年净零排放。在发展中国家中,印度尼西亚也有类似的目标,即到2030年减排29%至41%,到2060年或更早实现净零排放。欧盟国家和印度尼西亚还计划通过增加可再生能源份额(尤其是在电力部门)来实现能源转型,以减少排放。然而,欧盟国家拥有与技术和清洁能源政策相关的最先进的研究,使欧盟成为第一个承诺到2050年实现净零排放的大洲。我们的研究旨在从EGD的建议中吸取教训,并分析其在印度尼西亚实施的适用性。本研究采用定性方法,利用二手资料和相关文献。我们发现,除了核电厂和电价政策外,欧盟电力部门关于能源转型的几乎所有建议都与印度尼西亚相关。
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