Analyzing the long run linkage between Population, Economic Development and Energy Consumption on Carbon emissions of ASEAN Nations

T. Ahmad, Mabrooka Altaf, K. Kiran
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Abstract

This study examined the effect of population, energy consumption, economic development on environment degradation in the context of ASEAN countries. For this purpose, the study used the panel data of nine ASEAN countries (Indonesia, Singapore, Malaysia, Brunei, Philippines, Cambodia, Thailand, Myanmar, and Vietnam) from 1995 to 2018 with the help of the World Development Indicators (WDI) dataset. Panel FMOLS and Panel ARDL methodology are used to examine the econometric model. ARDL results show that economic growth increases the emission of carbon dioxide which means economic development makes the environment unhealthy, moreover it confirmed the validity of the EKC hypothesis for ASEAN countries. There is a long-term positive impact of GDP and the consumption of energy on CO2 emission. In contrast, the impact of population growth is significant on the per capita emission of carbon dioxide. However, the emission of carbon dioxide hurts economic growth in the long run. Consequently, emission of carbon dioxide can be reduced, and economic growth can be sustainable by using low carbon emission technologies such as renewable energy.
人口、经济发展和能源消费对东盟国家碳排放的长期影响分析
本研究考察了东盟国家的人口、能源消耗、经济发展对环境退化的影响。为此,该研究在世界发展指标(WDI)数据集的帮助下,使用了1995年至2018年九个东盟国家(印度尼西亚、新加坡、马来西亚、文莱、菲律宾、柬埔寨、泰国、缅甸和越南)的面板数据。使用面板FMOLS和面板ARDL方法来检验计量经济模型。ARDL结果表明,经济增长增加了二氧化碳的排放,经济发展使环境变得不健康,并证实了EKC假设对东盟国家的有效性。GDP和能源消耗对二氧化碳排放具有长期的积极影响。相比之下,人口增长对人均二氧化碳排放量的影响是显著的。然而,从长远来看,二氧化碳的排放会损害经济增长。因此,通过使用可再生能源等低碳排放技术,可以减少二氧化碳的排放,实现经济的可持续增长。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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