Geography, Military Balance, and the Defence of NATO's Borderlands

D. Motin
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Abstract

Abstract The enlargement of NATO and the defence of its borders have occupied an important place in the security debate in the last few years. This study discusses the situation of the NATO members and candidate states which are most directly exposed to Russian military power. After analysing the cases of the three Baltic republics, Norway, Georgia, and Ukraine, I conclude with a paradox; although NATO is on the aggregate level stronger, it cannot hope to guarantee the security of its eastern borderlands. This reality could push these states to bandwagon with Russia.
地理、军事平衡和北约边境地区的防御
近年来,北约东扩及其边界防卫问题在安全辩论中占有重要地位。本研究讨论了最直接受到俄罗斯军事力量影响的北约成员国和候选国的情况。在分析了三个波罗的海共和国——挪威、格鲁吉亚和乌克兰——的情况后,我得出了一个自相矛盾的结论;尽管北约总体上更强大,但它不能指望保证其东部边境的安全。这一现实可能会迫使这些国家与俄罗斯为伍。
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