Research on Cohesive and Linkage Mechanism of Electricity Market-Carbon Market-Green Certificate Market

He Xinying, Dai Qingzhao, Zeng Ming, Wang Xin, Guo Ke, Zhang Xiaochun
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Abstract

Driven by the dual carbon goal of "carbon peak in 2030 and carbon neutralization in 2060", the rapid development of carbon emission trading market and green certificate trading market has become an important starting point for the implementation of carbon emission reduction. With the gradual promotion of carbon emission trading market and green certificate trading market, they will be coupled and linked with the electricity market. Therefore, this paper focuses on the coupling and linkage mechanism of electricity market-carbon emission trading market-green certificate trading market, analyzes the coupling and linkage mode of the three markets, and establishes the coupling and linkage model based on system dynamics. Firstly, we analyze the coupling and linkage mode of the three markets in three aspects: policy, subject and price. Then, based on the theory of system dynamics, the causal loop analysis of three markets is carried out. Finally, the system dynamics simulation equation and stock flow diagram are constructed.
电力市场-碳市场-绿色证书市场衔接机制研究
在“2030年碳峰值和2060年碳中和”的双碳目标驱动下,碳排放权交易市场和绿色证书交易市场的快速发展成为实施碳减排的重要抓手。随着碳排放权交易市场和绿色证书交易市场的逐步推进,将与电力市场进行耦合联动。因此,本文重点研究了电力市场-碳排放交易市场-绿色证书交易市场的耦合联动机制,分析了三个市场的耦合联动模式,建立了基于系统动力学的耦合联动模型。首先,我们从政策、主体和价格三个方面分析了三个市场的耦合和联动模式。然后,基于系统动力学理论,对三个市场进行因果循环分析。最后,建立了系统动力学仿真方程和库存流程图。
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