Prediction of Development Investment of Power Grid Company based on Internal and External Factors

Xia Liyu, He Wan, Z. Qian
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

Development investment provides a strong resource support for the production and operation of power grid enterprises, and it is a systematic plan for the overall implementation of enterprise strategy. It is of great significance to research on the prediction of development investment and accurately predict the scale of development investment. We consider the internal and external factors that affect the development investment of power grid enterprise, and build new development investment prediction models based on principal component regression from three perspectives of internal factors, external factors and integration of internal and external factors. The prediction accuracy of new models are empirically compared based on the real data. The empirical results show that a better prediction effect can be obtained by considering the internal factors of power grid operation and the external factors of macroeconomic operation
基于内外部因素的电网公司发展投资预测
发展投资为电网企业的生产经营提供了强有力的资源支持,是企业战略整体实施的系统规划。研究开发投资预测问题,准确预测开发投资规模具有重要意义。考虑影响电网企业发展投资的内外部因素,从内部因素、外部因素和内外因素整合三个角度,构建了基于主成分回归的电网企业发展投资预测新模型。并结合实际数据对新模型的预测精度进行了实证比较。实证结果表明,考虑电网运行的内部因素和宏观经济运行的外部因素可以获得较好的预测效果
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