Teknolojik Başarının Ekonomik Büyüme Üzerindeki Etkisi: Panel ARDL Yaklaşımından Kanıt

Büşra Ağan
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Abstract

In recent times, technological innovations among nations are the most powerful instrument for higher economic growth rates and development. A higher level of achievement in the diffusion/adoption of technology can create more effective economic growth. Given this motivation, the study aims to examine the impact of technological achievements on economic growth, gross capital formation, medium and high-tech exports, and employment in chosen 72 countries over the period of 1990 - 2020. The unit root tests of the cross-section augmented Im-Pesaran-Shin (CIPS) test of Pesaran and also covariate Augmented Dickey-Fuller (CADF) test of Hansen, the Pedroni cointegration test, and then Pesaran ARDL model has been applied in the analysis of data. The ARDL model results reveal a statistically significant causality and positive relationships between the technology achievement index and GDP growth, gross capital formation, medium and high-tech exports, and employment significance at 1 percent level in the long run according to Pooled Mean Group (PMG) estimator. Consequently, technological innovations are linked with economic growth and macroeconomic factors, that is to say, to get higher growth needs to grow up adaptation of technology and also to produce and trade technology-specific products.
近年来,各国之间的技术创新是提高经济增长率和发展的最有力工具。在技术的传播/采用方面取得更高水平的成就可以创造更有效的经济增长。鉴于这一动机,本研究旨在考察1990年至2020年期间选定的72个国家的技术成就对经济增长、资本形成总额、中等和高科技出口以及就业的影响。采用Pesaran的截面增广imi -Pesaran- shin (CIPS)检验的单位根检验和Hansen的协变量增广Dickey-Fuller (CADF)检验、Pedroni协整检验以及Pesaran ARDL模型对数据进行分析。ARDL模型结果显示,在1%的长期水平上,技术成就指数与GDP增长、总资本形成、中高技术出口和就业显著性之间存在显著的因果关系和正相关关系。因此,技术创新是与经济增长和宏观经济因素联系在一起的,也就是说,为了获得更高的增长,需要提高技术的适应性,也需要生产和贸易特定于技术的产品。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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